Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simrishamn vs Hogsby

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Simrishamn in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Simrishamn
20%
Draws
70%
Hogsby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hogsby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Simrishamn have won more games recently than Hogsby.
  • Hogsby are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Simrishamn have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Simrishamn, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 14%
Hogsby Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simrishamn Hogsby
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogsby vs Simrishamn
0:5
Oct 22, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Hogsby
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simrishamn 23 / 100
Hogsby 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simrishamn Hogsby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hogsby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Simrishamn scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Hogsby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Simrishamn has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Simrishamn VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Simrishamn

(Home)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
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Hogsby

(Away)
29 Oct
Hogsby
0 : 5
Simrishamn
22 Oct
Simrishamn
5 : 2
Hogsby
15 Oct
Rappe GOIF
1 : 3
Hogsby
08 Oct
Hogsby
1 : 1
AFC Malmo
01 Oct
IFK Hassleholm
0 : 2
Hogsby
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Simrishamn 10
Hogsby 2