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Singida Black Stars vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup Highland Estate Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Singida Black Stars play Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) in the CECAFA Kagame Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Singida Black Stars averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Singida Black Stars won 0, Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 2, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Singida Black Stars and 0.88 for Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee). This points to a Singida Black Stars double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Singida Black Stars
25%
Draws
33%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Singida Black Stars picked up more points recently compared to Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 25%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Singida Black Stars vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 43 / 100
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Singida Black Stars or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Singida Black Stars attacking → ← attacking Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Singida Black Stars scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Singida Black Stars went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 41
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Singida Black Stars32103:17
2Police FC32017:26
3Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)31116:24
4Garde-Cotes30030:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1APR32105:17
2Kinondoni MC32105:37
3Mlandege31025:53
4Bumamuru30030:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman31205:35
2Mogadishu City31203:25
3Madani30212:32
4Kator30211:32