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Singida Black Stars vs Garde-Cotes

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 Highland Estate Stadium, Ubaruku
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Muaku H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Singida Black Stars advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Singida Black Stars
15%
Draws
0%
Garde-Cotes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Singida Black Stars come out ahead of Garde-Cotes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Singida Black Stars's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Singida Black Stars have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Singida Black Stars, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Garde-Cotes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Garde-Cotes
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 2 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2025 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Singida Black Stars vs Garde-Cotes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Singida Black Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Muaku H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Garde-Cotes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 95 / 100
Garde-Cotes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Garde-Cotes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Singida Black Stars's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: Garde-Cotes has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Garde-Cotes has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Singida Black Stars stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Singida Black Stars VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Singida Black Stars

(Home)
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
19 Aug
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Singida Black Stars
14 Aug
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 6

Garde-Cotes

(Away)
08 Sept
Singida Black Stars
1 : 0
Garde-Cotes
05 Sept
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
6 : 0
Garde-Cotes
02 Sept
Garde-Cotes
0 : 4
Police FC
24 May
AS Arta
1 : 0
Garde-Cotes
04 May
FC Arta
0 : 0
Garde-Cotes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singida Black Stars 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Police FC 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 3 1 1 1 6:2 4
4 Garde-Cotes 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Kinondoni MC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Mlandege 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Bumamuru 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 Mogadishu City 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Madani 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Kator 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)