Sport Picks
Singida Black Stars vs Mtibwa Sugar Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Airtel Stadium, Singida 
Match Events
10'
10'
Nduwumwe M.
Assist: Mtange L.
41'
41'
Nduwumwe M.
Assist: Jarjou L.
46'
46'
Sub
Hillary A. In: Msafiri K.
Out: Hillary A.
AI Match Summary
Singida Black Stars in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Singida Black Stars.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Singida Black Stars
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Singida Black Stars have won more games recently than Mtibwa Sugar.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Singida Black Stars taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- History favors Singida Black Stars here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Mtibwa Sugar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Singida Black Stars | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.08 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mtibwa Sugar
4:0
Feb 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars
1:3
May 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mtibwa Sugar
5:1
Feb 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars
2:3
Dec 24, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mtibwa Sugar
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Singida Black Stars Compare
Top Goalscorer Nduwumwe M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jarjou L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Mtibwa Sugar Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Singida Black Stars 95 / 100
Mtibwa Sugar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Singida Black Stars Mtibwa Sugar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Singida Black Stars scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.
Mtibwa Sugar let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Mtibwa Sugar has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Singida Black Stars VS Mtibwa Sugar
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Singida Black Stars
(Home) 13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0 Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7 Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2 Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0 Al-Ghazala
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2 Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
14 Aug
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 4
Mtibwa Sugar
(Away) 30 Jun
Namungo
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
24 Jun
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 3 Simba
18 Jun
Pamba
4 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
13 Jun
Mbeya City
1 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
Page 1 of 6
30 Jun
Namungo
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
18 Jun
Pamba
4 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
13 Jun
Mbeya City
1 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
20 May
TRA United
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
