Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Singida Black Stars vs Pamba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Airtel Stadium, Singida
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Nduwumwe M.
48'
Zakaria A.
52' Event
Nduwumwe M.
Assist: Guede J.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Singida Black Stars and Pamba finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Singida Black Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Singida Black Stars
15%
Draws
0%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Singida Black Stars come out ahead of Pamba on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Singida Black Stars taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Pamba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Pamba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 2 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.27 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.89 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Pamba
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Singida Black Stars
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Pamba
2:2
Sep 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Singida Black Stars
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Singida Black Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Nduwumwe M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Muaku H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Msabila H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 95 / 100
Pamba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Singida Black Stars's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pamba lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Pamba has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Singida Black Stars VS Pamba
1.63 Goals Scored 0.71
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.14
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Singida Black Stars

(Home)
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7
Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

Pamba

(Away)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)