Sport Picks

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Singida Black Stars vs Pamba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Airtel Stadium, Singida
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Nduwumwe M.
48'
Zakaria A.
52' Event
Nduwumwe M.
Assist: Guede J.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Singida Black Stars and Pamba finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Singida Black Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Singida Black Stars
11%
Draws
9%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Singida Black Stars come out ahead of Pamba on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Singida Black Stars taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Pamba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Pamba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Pamba
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Singida Black Stars
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Pamba
2:2
Sep 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Singida Black Stars
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Singida Black Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Nduwumwe M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Muaku H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Msabila H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 86 / 100
Pamba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SBS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Singida Black Stars's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pamba let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Singida Black Stars went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Singida Black Stars VS Pamba
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Singida Black Stars

(Home)
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3
Singida Black Stars
27 Jun
Simba
2 : 0
Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Singida Black Stars
3 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
17 Jun
Singida Black Stars
5 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
13 Jun
JKT Tanzania
1 : 2
Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 6

Pamba

(Away)
30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1
Pamba
27 Jun
Pamba
1 : 2
JKT Tanzania
24 Jun
Pamba
0 : 2
Mbeya City
18 Jun
Pamba
4 : 0
Mtibwa Sugar
14 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
Pamba
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)