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Singida Black Stars vs Polisi Tanzania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Airtel Stadium, Singida
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mwambule B.
26' Event
Sowah J.
30' Event
Mwashinga J.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Singida Black Stars and Polisi Tanzania finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Singida Black Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Singida Black Stars
15%
Draws
32%
Polisi Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Singida Black Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Singida Black Stars a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Polisi Tanzania
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Polisi Tanzania
4:2
Apr 21, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Singida Black Stars
2:1
Nov 17, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Polisi Tanzania
1:2
May 12, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Polisi Tanzania
1:1
Nov 21, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Singida Black Stars
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Singida Black Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Sowah J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mwashinga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Polisi Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwambule B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ame I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 95 / 100
Polisi Tanzania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Polisi Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Singida Black Stars scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Polisi Tanzania has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Singida Black Stars stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Singida Black Stars VS Polisi Tanzania
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Singida Black Stars

(Home)
09 Oct
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1
Singida Black Stars
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7
Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
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Polisi Tanzania

(Away)
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 7 7 0 0 13:3 21
2 Young Africans 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 Mashujaa 7 4 0 3 8:7 12
5 Singida Black Stars 7 3 2 2 14:10 11
6 Dodoma Jiji 7 3 2 2 5:5 11
7 Polisi Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
8 Mbeya City 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
9 JKT Tanzania 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
10 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
11 Geita Gold 7 2 1 4 9:12 7
12 Coastal Union 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Kagera Sugar 7 1 2 4 8:15 5
15 Pamba 7 1 1 5 8:13 4
16 Fountain Gate 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)