Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Singida Black Stars vs Simba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Airtel Stadium, Singida
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Chama C.
22' Event
Khamis S.
(Penalty)
31'

AI Match Summary

Simba in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Singida Black Stars
15%
Draws
53%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Simba have won more games recently than Singida Black Stars.
  • Singida Black Stars are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Simba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Simba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Simba
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 24
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 2.09 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Simba
1:2
Jul 31, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Singida Black Stars vs Simba
1:2
Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Singida Black Stars
2:0
Mar 11, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Simba
1:2
Sep 11, 2025 Community Shield
Simba vs Singida Black Stars
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Singida Black Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Chama C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 50 / 100
Simba 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Singida Black Stars scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Singida Black Stars went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 30% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Singida Black Stars VS Simba
3 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Singida Black Stars

(Home)
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7
Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
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Simba

(Away)
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Simba 5 5 0 0 9:2 15
3 Azam 6 4 2 0 11:5 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
13 TRA United 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
14 Fountain Gate 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
15 Pamba 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
16 Kagera Sugar 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)