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Singida Black Stars vs Simba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Airtel Stadium, Singida
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Chama C.
22' Event
Khamis S.
(Penalty)
62' Event
De Reuck R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Simba in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Singida Black Stars
20%
Draws
52%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Simba have won more games recently than Singida Black Stars.
  • Simba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Simba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 10%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Simba
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 24
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 2.28 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Simba
1:2
Jul 31, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Singida Black Stars vs Simba
1:2
Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Singida Black Stars
2:0
Mar 11, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Simba
1:2
Sep 11, 2025 Community Shield
Simba vs Singida Black Stars
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Singida Black Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Chama C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 10 / 100
Simba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Singida Black Stars scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Singida Black Stars went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 37% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Singida Black Stars VS Simba
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Singida Black Stars

(Home)
25 Oct
Singida Black Stars
1 : 1
Tusker
18 Oct
Tusker
0 : 1
Singida Black Stars
12 Oct
Coastal Union
1 : 0
Singida Black Stars
09 Oct
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1
Singida Black Stars
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
25 Oct
Simba
3 : 0
15 de Agosto
21 Oct
15 de Agosto
1 : 6
Simba
13 Oct
Simba
6 : 1
Mashujaa
10 Oct
Simba
2 : 1
Young Africans
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 9 7 1 1 19:5 22
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 JKT Tanzania 10 5 2 3 12:12 17
5 Dodoma Jiji 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
6 Polisi Tanzania 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
7 Namungo 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
8 Mashujaa 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
9 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Mbeya City 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
11 Coastal Union 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
12 Geita Gold 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
13 TRA United 8 1 4 3 6:7 7
14 Pamba 9 1 3 5 10:15 6
15 Kagera Sugar 9 1 3 5 9:17 6
16 Fountain Gate 9 1 3 5 5:13 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)