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Sinop FC vs Nova Mutum EC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Matogrossense 2021
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AI Match Summary

Nova Mutum EC in this Campeonato Matogrossense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nova Mutum EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sinop FC
15%
Draws
40%
Nova Mutum EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sinop FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nova Mutum EC have won more games recently than Sinop FC.
  • Win probability leans Sinop FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Matogrossense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sinop FC Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Mutum EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sinop FC Nova Mutum EC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2021 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Nova Mutum EC
1:2
Nov 19, 2020 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Nova Mutum EC
1:1
Nov 11, 2020 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Sinop FC
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Sinop FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sinop FC 58 / 100
Nova Mutum EC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sinop FC Nova Mutum EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sinop FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sinop FC scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Nova Mutum EC let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sinop FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sinop FC VS Nova Mutum EC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sinop FC

(Home)
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
31 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
23 May
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 1
Sinop FC
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
Page 1 of 6

Nova Mutum EC

(Away)
11 Feb
Operario VG
3 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
08 Feb
Nova Mutum EC
2 : 1
Mixto
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
31 Jan
Cuiaba
2 : 1
Nova Mutum EC
28 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
3 : 2
Chapada
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 9 7 2 0 19:3 23
2 Operario VG 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
3 Nova Mutum EC 9 5 4 0 14:5 19
4 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
5 Acao 9 4 2 3 16:8 14
6 Luverdense 9 2 5 2 7:7 11
7 Gremio Sorriso 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
8 Dom Bosco 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
9 Pocone 9 1 1 7 8:30 4
10 Sinop FC 9 0 0 9 5:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2021 (Play Offs)