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Sinop FC vs Várzea Grande EC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sinop FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sinop FC
6%
Draws
4%
Várzea Grande EC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sinop FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sinop FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sinop FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sinop FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sinop FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sinop FC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sinop FC Clean Sheet 20%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sinop FC Várzea Grande EC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Sinop FC vs Várzea Grande EC
2:1
Jun 2, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Várzea Grande EC vs Sinop FC
1:4
Feb 8, 2019 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Sinop FC
1:2
Apr 24, 2016 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Várzea Grande EC
2:1
Mar 27, 2016 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Sinop FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sinop FC 85 / 100
Várzea Grande EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sinop FC Várzea Grande EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Sinop FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sinop FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sinop FC VS Várzea Grande EC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sinop FC

(Home)
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
31 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
23 May
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 1
Sinop FC
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
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Várzea Grande EC

(Away)
08 Feb
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
01 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 2
Sport Sinop
28 Jan
Primavera AC
2 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
25 Jan
Mixto
0 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rondonopolis EC0
Caceres1
Sinop FC6
Várzea Grande EC2
Acao1
Sport Sinop2
Pocone3
Gremio Sorriso1
Semi-finals
Caceres3
Sinop FC0
Sport Sinop4
Pocone3
Final
Caceres3
Sport Sinop2