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Sint Maarten vs Anguilla

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Sint Maarten and Anguilla finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Sint Maarten
20%
Draws
36%
Anguilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sint Maarten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Sint Maarten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sint Maarten's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 18%
Anguilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sint Maarten Anguilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.77 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Friendly International
Sint Maarten vs Anguilla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sint Maarten 40 / 100
Anguilla 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sint Maarten Anguilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sint Maarten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anguilla let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sint Maarten stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sint Maarten scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sint Maarten VS Anguilla
1.14 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sint Maarten

(Home)
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1
Sint Maarten
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Anguilla

(Away)
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
26 Mar
Bahamas
1 : 3
Anguilla
16 Nov
Cayman Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
12 Nov
Bahamas
1 : 2
Anguilla
09 Nov
Saint Martin
1 : 2
Anguilla
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