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Sint Maarten vs Puerto Rico

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Complejo Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad, Oranjestad
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sulia R.
10'
Kort I.
40'
Sulia R.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Sint Maarten and Puerto Rico finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sint Maarten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sint Maarten
15%
Draws
76%
Puerto Rico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puerto Rico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Puerto Rico come out ahead of Sint Maarten on wins alone.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Puerto Rico taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Puerto Rico here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 16%
Puerto Rico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sint Maarten Puerto Rico
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.57 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Puerto Rico vs Sint Maarten
2:1
Oct 11, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Puerto Rico
3:2
May 21, 1993 Caribbean Cup
Puerto Rico vs Sint Maarten
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sint Maarten Compare

Top Goalscorer Amatkarijo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kort I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Puerto Rico Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulia R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sint Maarten 10 / 100
Puerto Rico 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sint Maarten Puerto Rico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puerto Rico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Sint Maarten scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Puerto Rico conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sint Maarten stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sint Maarten VS Puerto Rico
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sint Maarten

(Home)
06 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4 : 0
Sint Maarten
03 Oct
Sint Maarten
2 : 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
29 Sept
French Guiana
1 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 6

Puerto Rico

(Away)
04 Oct
Puerto Rico
1 : 0
Cayman Islands
02 Oct
Cayman Islands
0 : 3
Puerto Rico
28 Sept
Dominica
0 : 2
Puerto Rico
24 Sept
Puerto Rico
0 : 1
Guyana
05 Jun
Puerto Rico
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Bonaire 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
4 Montserrat 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 4 1 1 15:3 13
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 0 3 7:15 9
3 Grenada 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Saint Martin 6 2 0 4 8:13 6
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 6 0 0 29:5 18
2 Puerto Rico 6 3 0 3 11:12 9
3 Sint Maarten 6 3 0 3 7:18 9
4 Aruba 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic 6 6 0 0 27:4 18
2 Bermuda 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 Dominica 6 1 1 4 6:18 4
4 Antigua and Barbuda 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)