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Sintrense vs Fabril do Barreiro Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Assuncao F.
84'
Alves L.
84'
Alves L.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 game between Sintrense and Fabril do Barreiro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sintrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sintrense
30%
Draws
30%
Fabril do Barreiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sintrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sintrense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sintrense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 68%
Fabril do Barreiro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sintrense Fabril do Barreiro
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 25 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.61 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Fabril do Barreiro
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Sintrense
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Fabril do Barreiro
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Sintrense
2:1
Apr 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Fabril do Barreiro
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sintrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Assuncao F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Fabril do Barreiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sintrense 59 / 100
Fabril do Barreiro 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sintrense Fabril do Barreiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sintrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sintrense found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (41 games).

Fabril do Barreiro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Sintrense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sintrense VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sintrense

(Home)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
Sintrense
3 : 1
Santa Clara B
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 9

Fabril do Barreiro

(Away)
13 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
2 : 1
Louletano
06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2
Fabril do Barreiro
29 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4
Fabril do Barreiro
09 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 1
FC Barreirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)