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Sintrense vs Malveira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Valdumar
31' Event
Carvalho R.
33' Event
Rodrigues T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Sintrense
35%
Draws
10%
Malveira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sintrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Malveira haven't matched Sintrense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sintrense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 68%
Malveira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sintrense Malveira
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Malveira vs Sintrense
0:2
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Malveira
2:2
Jan 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Malveira vs Sintrense
2:3
Oct 23, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Sintrense vs Malveira
5:1
Apr 17, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Sintrense vs Malveira
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sintrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Valdumar
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carvalho R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Malveira Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Conte C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sintrense 86 / 100
Malveira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sintrense Malveira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sintrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Sintrense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sintrense's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Malveira has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sintrense VS Malveira
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sintrense

(Home)
16 Aug
Portel
2 : 2
Sintrense
01 Aug
Mafra
1 : 2
Sintrense
11 Jul
Benfica B
0 : 0
Sintrense
18 Apr
Sintrense
2 : 1
Portimonense B
12 Apr
Malveira
0 : 2
Sintrense
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Malveira

(Away)
16 Aug
Malveira
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
31 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1
Malveira
23 May
Malveira
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
17 May
Louletano
1 : 1
Malveira
10 May
Malveira
0 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)