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Sintrense vs Vitoria Setubal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Estádio do Sport União Sintrense, Sintra
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sintrense host Vitoria Setubal in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sintrense at 1.29 goals for, 0.94 against; Vitoria Setubal at 1.63 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Sintrense have won 0 to Vitoria Setubal's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2024, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.71 xG vs 1.02) point toward Vitoria Setubal. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sintrense
20%
Draws
38%
Vitoria Setubal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sintrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitoria Setubal come out ahead of Sintrense on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sintrense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sintrense Vitoria Setubal
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 17 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vitoria Setubal vs Sintrense
2:0
Nov 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Vitoria Setubal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sintrense 67 / 100
Vitoria Setubal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sintrense Vitoria Setubal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sintrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sintrense scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sintrense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Setubal conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sintrense VS Vitoria Setubal
2 Goals Scored 1.29
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Sintrense

(Home)
11 Oct
Serpa
2 : 0
Sintrense
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
Sintrense
3 : 1
Santa Clara B
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
Page 1 of 7

Vitoria Setubal

(Away)
11 Oct
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 1
Real SC
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 5 3 1 1 11:5 10
2 Imortal 5 3 1 1 10:3 10
3 Serpa 5 2 3 0 8:4 9
4 Juv. Evora 5 2 2 1 9:7 8
5 Amora 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Real SC 5 1 4 0 9:8 7
7 Lagoa 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
8 GD Alcochetense 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
10 1º Dezembro 4 1 2 1 3:7 5
11 Lajense 5 1 1 3 7:8 4
12 Santa Clara B 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
13 Portel 5 0 4 1 6:9 4
14 Aljustrelense 5 0 2 3 2:11 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)