Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Nemeth K.
17'
17'
Nemeth K.
22'
22'
Polievka R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-7, with MTK Budapest advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siofok
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- MTK Budapest haven't matched Siofok's recent run of results.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Siofok have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor MTK Budapest, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Siofok Clean Sheet 15%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siofok | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Siofok vs MTK Budapest
1:7
Apr 16, 2023 NB II.
Siofok vs MTK Budapest
2:1
Oct 22, 2022 NB II.
MTK Budapest vs Siofok
1:1
May 3, 2020 NB II.
Siofok vs MTK Budapest
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 NB II.
MTK Budapest vs Siofok
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siofok Compare
Top Goalscorer Gruber A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
MTK Budapest Compare
Top Goalscorer Nemeth K.
3 Goals Assists Leader Bognar I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siofok 30 / 100
MTK Budapest 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siofok MTK Budapest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Siofok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: MTK Budapest conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Siofok's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Siofok remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Siofok VS MTK Budapest
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Siofok
(Home) 29 Aug
Szekszardi
1 : 3 Siofok
26 Aug
Sarbogard
1 : 1 Siofok
22 Aug
TFSE-Tent Budapest
2 : 0 Siofok
15 Aug
Siofok
0 : 0 Budafoki MTE
12 Aug
Siofok
2 : 1 MTK Budapest II
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Siofok
0 : 0 Budafoki MTE
12 Aug
Siofok
2 : 1 MTK Budapest II
24 May
Siofok
1 : 1 PTE-PEAC
10 May
Siofok
1 : 2 Erdi
26 Apr
Siofok
2 : 0 Penzugyor SE
Page 1 of 3
MTK Budapest
(Away) 28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1 Nyiregyhaza
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1 MTK Budapest
07 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 3 Puskas Academy
01 Aug
Honved
3 : 3 MTK Budapest
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1 MTK Budapest
01 Aug
Honved
3 : 3 MTK Budapest
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3 MTK Budapest
15 May
Puskas Academy
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Hodoscsepanyi SE 1
Gyulahaza 0
Salgotarjani BTC 3
Marshall-Andornaktalya SE 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Karancslapujto 0
Senyo 3
Tarpa 3
Tiszaujvaros 1
Villanyi 1
Kelen 2
Bonyhad 0
Dunaujvaros 8
TFSE-Tent Budapest 0
Ivancsa 3
Penzugyor SE 2
Szekszardi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Sarisapi Banyasz 5
Teskand 0
Szarvaskend 2
Zalaszentgroti 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
REAC 3
FC Dabas 2
Janoshalmi 0
Tiszafoldvar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karcagi -
Kiraly SE 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor 4
Sopron 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Nagybajom 0
Kaposvar 4
Szepetnek 0
Erdi 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Tatai 2
Koppanymonostori SE 3
Sarvari FC 5
Zalalovoi 3
Dunakeszi 0
Pilisi 2
Issimo 4
Kiskunfelegyhaza TSI 0
Mohacsi 2
Toponar 0
Komloi 1
Majosi 3
Paszto SK-Real-Immo Sport 1
Godollo 4
MVSC 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye 4
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Moragyi SE 2
Airnergy FC 1
Fonix Gold 1
Siofok 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Szegedi 0
Gyulai Termal 4
Csepel 2
Monori 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Kecskemeti TE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Jaszfenyszarui 0
Hatvan FC 5
Hajduszoboszloi 1
Tiszafuredi 5
Nyirmeggyes SK 3
CSO-Ki Sport 5
Unicum FC Mohora 1
Putnok VSE 4
Devecser 1
Bicskei 10
Csesztreg 0
VSC Veszprem 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Bony 1
Ujperint SE 0
Mori SE 4
Urkut 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Dombovari LK 0
Budaorsi SC 2
Bajai 0
Nagykanizsa FC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Szolnoki MAV 3
Jamina SE 1
OMTK-ULE 3
Dunaharaszti MTK 7
Bordany SK 2
Makoi 1
Rackeve 0
ESMTK Budapest 7
Martely SK 0
Epitok 1
Mezoturi 0
Martfui LSE 3
Harkany SE 1
Sarbogard 3
Dunafoldvar 1
Dombovari 8
Mezomegyer 2
Szajol 4
Solti FC 1
Rakoczifalva 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Mezoberenyi LE 0
Sandorfalvi 3
Sarreti 1
Hodmezovasarhely 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Soproni FAC 0
Intretech Kapuvari SE 4
Menfocsanak 1
Dorogi FC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezokeresztes 0
Mateszalkai MTK 4
Tallya 1
Vasarosnameny SE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
Csenger 0
Gyongyosi 0
Eger 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Koronco 0
Mezoors 1
Tihanyi 1
Haladas VSE 6
Balatonalmadi 5
Kormendi 0
Komaromi VSE 6
Papai Perutz 4
Nagyatadi 3
Balatonlelle 2
GA Gyogyfurdo 1
Pecsi MFC 10
Patak FC 0
Debreceni EAC 14
Hajdusamsoni 0
Cigand SE 2
Hevesi 2
Ujfeherto 4
Monostorpalyi 1
Fuzesabony 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Mezofalva 0
Lajoskomarom 2
Unione 2
PTE-PEAC 4
Vecsesi 1
III. Keruleti TVE 2
Kiskorosi 0
BKV Elore 3
Nyergesujfalu 2
Celldomolki Vse 0
Balatonfuredi 2
Tatabanya 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroksar -
1/64-finals
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Hodoscsepanyi SE 0
Salgotarjani BTC 3
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Senyo 0
Tarpa 4
Kelen 1
Dunaujvaros 0
Ivancsa 2
Penzugyor SE 1
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Szarvaskend 2
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
REAC 1
Tiszafoldvar 0
TBD -
Karcagi -
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
TBD -
Csakvari -
Kaposvar 2
Erdi 3
TBD -
Gyor -
Koppanymonostori SE 1
Sarvari FC 2
Pilisi 5
Issimo 1
Mohacsi 2
Majosi 4
Godollo 4
Ozd-Sajovolgye 1
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Moragyi SE 1
Siofok 8
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Gyulai Termal 3
Csepel 0
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Kecskemeti TE -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Hatvan FC 0
Tiszafuredi 4
CSO-Ki Sport 0
Putnok VSE 3
Bicskei 0
VSC Veszprem 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
Bony 2
Mori SE 4
TBD -
Honved -
Budaorsi SC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 2
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Szolnoki MAV 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Bordany SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 8
Epitok 1
Martfui LSE 3
Sarbogard 1
Dombovari 6
Szajol 6
Rakoczifalva 1
TBD -
Paks -
Sandorfalvi 1
Hodmezovasarhely 2
TBD -
DVTK -
Intretech Kapuvari SE 0
Dorogi FC 1
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mateszalkai MTK 0
Vasarosnameny SE 1
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
Eger 4
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Mezoors 3
Haladas VSE 2
Balatonalmadi 1
Komaromi VSE 2
Nagyatadi 0
Pecsi MFC 4
Debreceni EAC 2
Cigand SE 1
Ujfeherto 1
Fuzesabony 2
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Lajoskomarom 1
PTE-PEAC 3
III. Keruleti TVE 5
BKV Elore 0
Nyergesujfalu 0
Tatabanya 3
TBD -
Soroksar -
1/32-finals
Ajka 3
Kisvarda FC 1
Salgotarjani BTC 1
Tiszakecske 4
Tarpa 2
Kelen 3
Ivancsa 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Szarvaskend 0
Ferencvaros 15
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Nyiregyhaza 0
REAC 2
Karcagi 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor 0
Csakvari 1
Erdi 0
Gyor 3
Sarvari FC 2
Pilisi 5
Majosi 2
Godollo 0
Videoton 3
Szentlorinc SE 0
Siofok 1
MTK Budapest 7
Gyulai Termal 0
Mezokovesd-Zsory 2
Kecskemeti TE 3
Ujpest 2
Tiszafuredi 3
Putnok VSE 2
VSC Veszprem 0
Debrecen 2
Mori SE 1
Honved 4
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Szolnoki MAV 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
Martfui LSE 5
Dombovari 4
Szajol 1
Paks 5
Hodmezovasarhely 1
DVTK 3
Dorogi FC 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Vasarosnameny SE 0
Zalaegerszegi 13
Eger 0
Budafoki MTE 2
Vasas 4
Puskas Academy 1
Mezoors 1
Komaromi VSE 0
Pecsi MFC 0
Debreceni EAC 2
Fuzesabony 0
BVSC-Zuglo 4
PTE-PEAC 1
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Tatabanya 0
Soroksar 2
1/16-finals
Ajka 2
Tiszakecske 1
Kelen 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Ferencvaros 4
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Karcagi 2
Csakvari 3
Gyor 9
Pilisi 0
Majosi 0
Videoton 1
MTK Budapest 5
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Tiszafuredi 1
Debrecen 1
Honved 2
Kozarmisleny SE 0
ESMTK Budapest 1
Martfui LSE 1
Paks 4
DVTK 2
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Zalaegerszegi 3
Budafoki MTE 1
Vasas 3
Mezoors 0
Debreceni EAC 1
BVSC-Zuglo 0
III. Keruleti TVE 0
Soroksar 1
1/8-finals
Ajka 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Ferencvaros 4
Csakvari 0
Gyor 2
Videoton 0
MTK Budapest 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Honved 2
ESMTK Budapest 0
Paks 2
DVTK 6
Zalaegerszegi 2
Vasas 1
Debreceni EAC 0
Soroksar 1
Quarter-finals
Kazincbarcika 0
Ferencvaros 5
Gyor 3
Kecskemeti TE 1
Honved 1
DVTK 0
Zalaegerszegi 1
Soroksar 0
Semi-finals
Ferencvaros 3
Gyor 2
Honved 2
Zalaegerszegi 3
Final
Ferencvaros 1
Zalaegerszegi 0
