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Sion vs Lugano

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stade de Tourbillon, Sion
Sion Logo

Sion

2 - 2
FT
Lugano Logo

Lugano

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Grgic A.
31' Event
Koutsias G.
Assist: Belhadj M.
51'
Hefti N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Sion and Lugano finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sion
20%
Draws
45%
Lugano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sion haven't matched Lugano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lugano a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sion Clean Sheet 10%
Lugano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sion Lugano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.5 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Super League
Sion vs Lugano
2:2
Mar 4, 2026 Super League
Lugano vs Sion
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
Lugano vs Sion
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Super League
Sion vs Lugano
4:0
Mar 9, 2025 Super League
Sion vs Lugano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sion Compare

Top Goalscorer Chouaref I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Batata
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Koutsias G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Papadopoulos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sion 10 / 100
Lugano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sion Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sion's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Lugano conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sion VS Lugano
2.88 Goals Scored 3.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sion

(Home)
20 Aug
Sion
2 : 4
Ajax
16 Aug
Kerzers
1 : 6
Sion
13 Aug
Sion
2 : 1
Noah
09 Aug
Sion
3 : 2
Vaduz
06 Aug
Noah
2 : 2
Sion
Page 1 of 6

Lugano

(Away)
20 Aug
Lugano
2 : 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
16 Aug
Vedeggio
1 : 10
Lugano
13 Aug
NSI Runavik
2 : 2
Lugano
09 Aug
Lugano
5 : 0
Zurich
06 Aug
Lugano
2 : 0
NSI Runavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thun 38 24 3 11 80:52 75
2 St. Gallen 38 20 10 8 72:47 70
3 Lugano 38 19 10 9 59:42 67
4 Sion 38 16 15 7 63:40 63
5 Basel 38 16 8 14 55:58 56
6 Young Boys 38 15 10 13 80:69 55
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)