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Sirius vs Sarpsborg 08

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ure R.
23' Event
Utvik B.
45' Event
Ure R.

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sirius
30%
Draws
23%
Sarpsborg 08
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sirius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 haven't matched Sirius's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sirius's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sirius Clean Sheet 17%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sirius Sarpsborg 08
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 21 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.37 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Sirius vs Sarpsborg 08
2:3
Feb 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Sirius
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sirius Compare

Top Goalscorer Ure R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Utvik B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gueye B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sirius 39 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sirius Sarpsborg 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sirius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sirius scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Sarpsborg 08 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Sirius remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sirius VS Sarpsborg 08
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sirius

(Home)
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Aug
Friska Viljor
0 : 2
Sirius
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Sarpsborg 08

(Away)
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
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