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Sirius W vs Ostersund W

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Elitettan Women 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sirius W play Ostersund W in the Elitettan Women 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sirius W averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Ostersund W averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. In past meetings, Sirius W won 1, Ostersund W won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 4, 2016 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Sirius W and 0.86 for Ostersund W. This points to a Sirius W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sirius W
31%
Draws
20%
Ostersund W
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Sirius W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Sirius W picked up more points recently compared to Ostersund W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Sirius W Clean Sheet 25%
Ostersund W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sirius W Ostersund W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 16 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 2.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2016 Elitettan Women
Ostersund W vs Sirius W
2:2
May 14, 2016 Elitettan Women
Sirius W vs Ostersund W
1:0
Sep 27, 2015 Elitettan Women
Ostersund W vs Sirius W
0:0
Jun 14, 2015 Elitettan Women
Sirius W vs Ostersund W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sirius W 49 / 100
Ostersund W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sirius W Ostersund W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sirius W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sirius W attacking → ← attacking Ostersund W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sirius W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Ostersund W let in goals in 94% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Sirius W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ostersund W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 27
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kvarnsvedens W26213276:1566
2Djurgarden W26194380:3261
3Kalmar W26175462:3756
4Bunkeflo W26155661:3550
5Hovas W26155640:3050
6Sirius W26128639:2744
7Sunnana W26951252:4832
8Ostersund W26771241:5428
9QBIK Karlstad W26591229:3824
10Kungsbacka W26661434:5524
11Alta W26651537:7123
12Jitex W26551628:5220
13Bollstanas W26531829:6918
14Lidkoping W26341933:7813