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Siroke vs Chminianska Nova Ves

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Siroke play Chminianska Nova Ves in the Slovak Cup 2022/2023. Chminianska Nova Ves are favorites here. Recently, Siroke averaged 1.29 goals scored and 4.14 conceded. Chminianska Nova Ves averaged 2.43 goals scored and 3.14 conceded. In past meetings, Siroke won 0, Chminianska Nova Ves won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 27, 2022 ended 2:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.21 for Siroke and 3.29 for Chminianska Nova Ves. This points to a Chminianska Nova Ves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Siroke
15%
Draws
70%
Chminianska Nova Ves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chminianska Nova Ves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Siroke picked up more points recently compared to Chminianska Nova Ves.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.21 vs 3.29 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 56%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Siroke Clean Sheet 10%
Chminianska Nova Ves Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siroke Chminianska Nova Ves
Matches Played 7 7
Wins 0 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.29 2.43
Goals Conceded 4.14 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.14 3.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2022 Slovak Cup
Siroke vs Chminianska Nova Ves
2:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siroke 16 / 100
Chminianska Nova Ves 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siroke Chminianska Nova Ves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chminianska Nova Ves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Chminianska Nova Ves & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.9%
1.15
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Siroke attacking → ← attacking Chminianska Nova Ves

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siroke scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Chminianska Nova Ves let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Siroke went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Chminianska Nova Ves lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 9
1.29 Goals expected (xG) 2.43
4.14 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.14