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Sitomir vs Balkan Belogradchik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sitomir in this Third League - North-West 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sitomir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sitomir
15%
Draws
85%
Balkan Belogradchik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balkan Belogradchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Balkan Belogradchik haven't matched Sitomir's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sitomir Clean Sheet 10%
Balkan Belogradchik Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sitomir Balkan Belogradchik
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 4 2
Draws 3 7
Losses 26 21
Goals Scored 0.76 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.88 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2013 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Balkan Belogradchik
3:0
Nov 4, 2012 Third League - North-West
Balkan Belogradchik vs Sitomir
2:2
May 13, 2012 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Balkan Belogradchik
3:0
Oct 31, 2011 Third League - North-West
Balkan Belogradchik vs Sitomir
1:0
May 15, 2011 Third League - North-West
Balkan Belogradchik vs Sitomir
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sitomir 30 / 100
Balkan Belogradchik 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sitomir Balkan Belogradchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan Belogradchik let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Balkan Belogradchik has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sitomir scored in 39% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sitomir VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sitomir

(Home)
31 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Pavlikeni
23 May
Juventus Malchika
3 : 0
Sitomir
17 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Spartak Pleven
13 May
Bdin Vidin
3 : 0
Sitomir
10 May
Parva Atomna
3 : 0
Sitomir
Page 1 of 7

Balkan Belogradchik

(Away)
02 Jun
Sitomir
3 : 0
Balkan Belogradchik
26 May
Balkan Belogradchik
3 : 5
Partizan Cerven Brjag
19 May
Tryavna
3 : 0
Balkan Belogradchik
10 May
Balkan Belogradchik
0 : 1
Gorna
03 May
Dunav Selanovtsi
5 : 1
Balkan Belogradchik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 22 16 2 4 61:14 50
2 Parva Atomna 22 15 4 3 46:15 49
3 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 14 1 7 56:28 43
4 Dunav Selanovtsi 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
5 Lokomotiv Mezdra 1929 22 11 1 10 42:38 34
6 Gorna 22 9 4 9 40:26 31
7 OFK Levski 22 9 4 9 34:32 31
8 Belene 22 9 2 11 30:27 29
9 Sitomir 22 7 6 9 29:37 27
10 Chavdar Troyan 22 5 4 13 25:70 19
11 Tryavna 22 3 3 16 17:61 12
12 Balkan Belogradchik 22 1 7 14 19:65 10
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)