Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sitra vs Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sitra host Al Ahli in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Sitra have averaged 1.06 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Al Ahli's 1.34 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Sitra slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.00, favoring Al Ahli. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sitra
30%
Draws
41%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sitra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sitra have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sitra Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sitra Al Ahli
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.06 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Premier League
Sitra vs Al Ahli
0:2
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Sitra
1:2
Apr 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Sitra
2:3
Feb 27, 2025 King's Cup
Sitra vs Al Ahli
2:1
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League
Sitra vs Al Ahli
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sitra 36 / 100
Al Ahli 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sitra Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Al Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Sitra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sitra scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sitra VS Al Ahli
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sitra

(Home)
22 Oct
Sitra
2 : 3
Al Riffa
16 Oct
Aali Club
0 : 2
Sitra
11 Oct
Sitra
0 : 2
Al Najma
12 Sept
Sitra
0 : 0
Al Hidd
02 Sept
East Riffa
0 : 0
Sitra
Page 1 of 7

Al Ahli

(Away)
24 Oct
Malkia
1 : 1
Al Ahli
18 Oct
Al Ahli
1 : 2
Al Khalidiyah
10 Oct
Manama Club
1 : 3
Al Ahli
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2
Al Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Riffa 6 4 2 0 15:4 14
2 Al Khalidiyah 6 3 3 0 16:8 12
3 Al Ittifaq 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
4 Al Muharraq 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Sitra 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
6 Al Ahli 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
7 East Riffa 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
8 Aali Club 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
9 Al Najma 6 2 1 3 10:14 7
10 Al Hidd 6 1 3 2 5:5 6
11 Manama Club 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
12 Malkia 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)