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Sitra vs Al-Ahli

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
56'
69' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Sitra and Al-Ahli finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sitra
35%
Draws
20%
Al-Ahli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Ahli come out ahead of Sitra on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Sitra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sitra here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sitra Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sitra Al-Ahli
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 9 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Ahli
0:2
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs Sitra
1:2
Apr 22, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs Sitra
2:3
Feb 27, 2025 King's Cup
Sitra vs Al-Ahli
2:1
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Ahli
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sitra 68 / 100
Al-Ahli 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sitra Al-Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sitra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Sitra went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al-Ahli has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Sitra scored in 57% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Sitra VS Al-Ahli
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sitra

(Home)
12 Sept
Sitra
0 : 0
Al-Hidd
02 Sept
East Riffa
0 : 0
Sitra
27 Aug
Sitra
3 : 0
Malkia
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
Page 1 of 7

Al-Ahli

(Away)
12 Sept
Al-Ahli
0 : 2
Al-Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al-Hidd
0 : 1
Al-Ahli
28 Aug
Al-Muharraq
1 : 1
Al-Ahli
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
11 May
Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al-Hidd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)