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Sitra vs Al-Budaiya

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Al Haj O.
19' Event
Al Haj O.
86' Event
Namnganda K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Sitra and Al-Budaiya finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sitra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sitra
22%
Draws
18%
Al-Budaiya
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Budaiya have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Sitra are scoring more at 1.5.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Sitra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sitra Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Budaiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sitra Al-Budaiya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Budaiya
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Sitra
1:1
Nov 18, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Sitra vs Al-Budaiya
1:3
Apr 25, 2023 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Budaiya
3:1
Jan 22, 2023 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Sitra
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sitra Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Haj O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Namnganda K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al-Budaiya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sitra 68 / 100
Al-Budaiya 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sitra Al-Budaiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Al-Budaiya has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Sitra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Al-Budaiya registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sitra VS Al-Budaiya
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sitra

(Home)
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Sitra
0 : 2
Al-Ahli
27 Apr
Aali Club
0 : 2
Sitra
18 Apr
Sitra
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
Page 1 of 6

Al-Budaiya

(Away)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)