Sport Picks

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Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sittard host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie. Form suggests where the edge lies here. AZ Alkmaar have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Sittard have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor AZ Alkmaar slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.69, favoring AZ Alkmaar. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sittard
11%
Draws
80%
AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AZ Alkmaar come out ahead of Sittard on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AZ Alkmaar's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sittard Clean Sheet 13%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittard AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Sittard
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
4:3
Feb 23, 2025 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Sittard
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Eredivisie
Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Eredivisie
Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittard 11 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittard AZ Alkmaar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sittard found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

AZ Alkmaar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sittard remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sittard VS AZ Alkmaar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittard

(Home)
25 Jul
Metz
3 : 1
Sittard
17 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 1
Sittard
11 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
Genk
03 Jul
Sittard
1 : 0
Lierse SK
17 May
Utrecht
2 : 0
Sittard
Page 1 of 6

AZ Alkmaar

(Away)
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Waregem
1 : 1
AZ Alkmaar
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Anderlecht
11 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Almere City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cambuur00000:00
2Sittard00000:00
3Telstar00000:00
4Zwolle00000:00
5PSV00000:00
6Ajax00000:00
7Twente00000:00
8Heerenveen00000:00
9Feyenoord00000:00
10Nijmegen00000:00
11Utrecht00000:00
12AZ Alkmaar00000:00
13Sparta Rotterdam00000:00
14Willem II00000:00
15Excelsior00000:00
16Den Haag00000:00
17G.A. Eagles00000:00
18Groningen00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)