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Sittingbourne vs Aldershot Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Jones R.
76' Event
Armitage W.
87' Event
Frost T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Aldershot advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sittingbourne
20%
Draws
51%
Aldershot
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aldershot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sittingbourne come out ahead of Aldershot on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aldershot's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Sittingbourne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aldershot, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sittingbourne Clean Sheet 10%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittingbourne Aldershot
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 FA Trophy
Sittingbourne vs Aldershot
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sittingbourne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aldershot Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Armitage W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittingbourne 26 / 100
Aldershot 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittingbourne Aldershot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aldershot Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sittingbourne's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aldershot has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sittingbourne stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sittingbourne VS Aldershot
3 Goals Scored 1.5
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittingbourne

(Home)
05 Sept
Sittingbourne
3 : 4
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
28 Aug
Aylesbury United
6 : 4
Sittingbourne
21 Jul
Tonbridge
2 : 2
Sittingbourne
15 Nov
Ebbsfleet
2 : 1
Sittingbourne
25 Oct
Sittingbourne
2 : 1
Cray Valley
Page 1 of 6

Aldershot

(Away)
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Aldershot
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1
Tamworth
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0
Aldershot
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1
Yeovil
12 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 2
Aldershot
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Plymouth Parkway 0
Chichester City 4
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Gosport Borough 5
Taunton Town 1
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Canvey Island 0
Horsham FC 2
TBD -
Maidstone -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Stockton 2
Newton Aycliffe 1
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Macclesfield 7
Ashton United 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
St. Albans -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 2
Anstey Nomads 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Barton 0
Folkestone 3
Hanwell Town 5
Hendon 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Halesowen 4
FC Congleton Town 1
Slough Town -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Chatham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Hungerford 2
Yate 3
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hashtag 2
TBD -
Brackley -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 2
Bamber Bridge 3
TBD -
Farsley -
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge 0
Alvechurch 1
Chasetown 2
Belper Town 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Brentwood 4
Cray Valley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Tavistock 0
Winchester City 4
Dover Ath. 0
Sittingbourne 2
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Bath City -
TBD -
Uxbridge 0
Chertsey Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Stortford 1
Felixstowe & Walton 6
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Gloucester City 2
Coleshill Town 3
Biggleswade Town 2
Potters 0
Lewes 3
Ashford United 2
AFC Totton 1
Dorchester 0
Oxford City -
TBD -
Barwell 0
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hadley 4
Hastings 3
Mickleover 1
Telford 2
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands 4
Ossett United 0
Clitheroe 1
Gainsborough 4
TBD -
Chester -
Cambridge City 1
Royston Town 2
TBD -
Rushall -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
Worksop 2
United of Manchester 0
1/64-finals
Chichester City 2
Worthing FC 3
Gosport Borough 1
Tonbridge 0
Torquay 1
Truro 0
Horsham FC 2
Maidstone 1
Leamington 2
King’s Lynn 1
TBD -
Rochdale -
Stockton 3
Scarborough Athletic 1
TBD -
Oldham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton 2
Macclesfield 3
Barnet -
TBD -
Aveley 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
St. Albans 1
Basford Utd. 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Folkestone 0
Hanwell Town 2
TBD -
Eastleigh -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Kidderminster 2
Halesowen 1
Slough Town 2
Chatham 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Yate 0
Hampton & Richmond 2
Hashtag 3
Brackley 2
Alfreton 3
Needham Market 2
Spennymoor 2
South Shields 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge 0
Farsley 1
Boston United -
TBD -
Alvechurch 1
Chasetown 0
Hereford 0
Brentwood 1
TBD -
Southend -
Southport 3
Warrington Town 0
Peterborough Sports 2
Chelmsford 0
Winchester City 1
Sittingbourne 2
Enfield Town 2
Hornchurch 1
Chesham 2
Chippenham Town 0
Salisbury 3
Farnborough 0
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Bath City 2
Chertsey Town 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 2
Weymouth 3
Boreham Wood 2
Felixstowe & Walton 1
Dorking Wanderers 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Coleshill Town 4
Biggleswade Town 5
Lewes 0
AFC Totton 2
Oxford City 5
Sporting Khalsa 0
Hadley 1
Telford 0
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chorley 3
Marine 1
Scunthorpe 1
Warrington Rylands 2
Gainsborough 1
Chester 0
Royston Town 0
Rushall 1
York City -
TBD -
Darlington FC 1
Buxton 0
Woking -
TBD -
Welling 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Radcliffe 3
Worksop 2
1/32-finals
Worthing FC 1
Gosport Borough 2
Torquay 2
Horsham FC 0
Leamington 0
Rochdale 2
Stockton 2
Oldham 0
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 0
Barnet 2
Aveley 0
Basford Utd. 3
Halifax 2
Hanwell Town 1
Eastleigh 2
AFC Fylde 2
Kidderminster 3
Slough Town 2
Maidenhead 1
Sutton 4
Ebbsfleet 3
Hartlepool 1
Tamworth 2
Hampton & Richmond 3
Hashtag 0
Alfreton 0
Spennymoor 1
Gateshead 8
Farsley 1
Boston United 1
Alvechurch 0
Brentwood 3
Southend 5
Southport 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Sittingbourne 4
Enfield Town 2
Chesham 2
Salisbury 3
Aldershot 3
Wealdstone 1
Chertsey Town 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Yeovil 1
Weymouth 2
Boreham Wood 1
Eastbourne Borough 0
Biggleswade Town 2
AFC Totton 1
Oxford City 2
Hadley 1
Braintree 1
Forest Green 2
Chorley 3
Warrington Rylands 2
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 1
York City 3
Darlington FC 1
Woking 4
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Solihull Moors 1
Radcliffe 2
1/16-finals
Worthing FC 5
Torquay 1
Rochdale 1
Stockton 0
Altrincham 3
Barnet 1
Basford Utd. 1
Eastleigh 4
Kidderminster 4
Slough Town 0
Sutton 1
Tamworth 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Spennymoor 2
Gateshead 1
Boston United 3
Southend 1
Southport 0
Sittingbourne 2
Salisbury 1
Aldershot 8
Chertsey Town 0
Weymouth 1
Boreham Wood 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Oxford City 3
Forest Green 2
Chorley 0
Gainsborough 1
York City 0
Woking 4
Radcliffe 0
1/8-finals
Worthing FC 1
Rochdale 2
Altrincham 1
Eastleigh 0
Kidderminster 0
Sutton 1
Spennymoor 3
Boston United 2
Southend 0
Sittingbourne 1
Aldershot 2
Boreham Wood 0
Oxford City 1
Forest Green 0
Gainsborough 0
Woking 3
Quarter-finals
Rochdale 2
Altrincham 0
Sutton 0
Spennymoor 2
Sittingbourne 0
Aldershot 3
Oxford City 2
Woking 3
Semi-finals
Rochdale 2
Spennymoor 3
Aldershot 2
Woking 1
Final
Spennymoor 0
Aldershot 3