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Sivas Dort vs Tepecik

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sivas Dort play Tepecik in the 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sivas Dort averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Tepecik averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Sivas Dort won 3, Tepecik won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 18, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Sivas Dort and 0.80 for Tepecik. This points to a Sivas Dort double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sivas Dort
23%
Draws
32%
Tepecik
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Sivas Dort

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Sivas Dort picked up more points recently compared to Tepecik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Sivas Dort Clean Sheet 26%
Tepecik Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sivas Dort Tepecik
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 10
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.83 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.69

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Sivas Dort vs Tepecik
2:0
Oct 8, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Tepecik vs Sivas Dort
0:0
Jan 15, 2017 2. Lig White Group
Sivas Dort vs Tepecik
2:0
Sep 3, 2016 2. Lig White Group
Tepecik vs Sivas Dort
0:1
Mar 27, 2016 2. Lig Red Group
Tepecik vs Sivas Dort
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivas Dort Compare

Top Goalscorer Karaca A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sengil S. Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tepecik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivas Dort 46 / 100
Tepecik 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sivas Dort Tepecik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sivas Dort or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sivas Dort attacking → ← attacking Tepecik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivas Dort scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tepecik let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Sivas Dort went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tepecik lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 22
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Karakopru28179251:2460
2Erbaaspor28169355:2157
3Silivrispor28149538:2251
4Bornova 187728155847:3350
5Kusadasispor28129736:2845
6Kutahyaspor281111640:2544
7Tepecik28109929:3039
8Agri 197028109936:3539
9Fatsa Bld.28910924:2737
10Osmaniyespor28851529:3429
111922 Konyaspor28771425:3028
12Bayburt Ozel Idare286101218:3828
13Darica Genclerbirligi28671518:3325
14Akhisarspor28541925:6719
15Sivas Dort28551822:4617