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Sivas Dort vs Tepecik Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Karaca A.
85' Event
Sengil S. Y.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024 game between Sivas Dort and Tepecik finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sivas Dort.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sivas Dort
20%
Draws
40%
Tepecik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sivas Dort carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sivas Dort's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sivas Dort Clean Sheet 20%
Tepecik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sivas Dort Tepecik
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 10
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.83 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Sivas Dort vs Tepecik
2:0
Oct 8, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Tepecik vs Sivas Dort
0:0
Jan 15, 2017 2. Lig White Group
Sivas Dort vs Tepecik
2:0
Sep 3, 2016 2. Lig White Group
Tepecik vs Sivas Dort
0:1
Mar 27, 2016 2. Lig Red Group
Tepecik vs Sivas Dort
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivas Dort Compare

Top Goalscorer Karaca A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sengil S. Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Tepecik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivas Dort 42 / 100
Tepecik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sivas Dort Tepecik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tepecik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Sivas Dort found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Tepecik has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tepecik
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sivas Dort

(Home)
27 Apr
Sivas Dort
1 : 1
Karakopru
21 Apr
Bayburt Ozel Idare
2 : 1
Sivas Dort
14 Apr
Sivas Dort
0 : 2
1922 Konyaspor
07 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 0
Sivas Dort
03 Apr
Sivas Dort
1 : 3
Kutahyaspor
Page 1 of 6

Tepecik

(Away)
26 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0
Tepecik
20 Apr
Tepecik
0 : 1
Agri 1970
13 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 2
Tepecik
06 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 1
Tepecik
02 Apr
Mardin 1969
5 : 1
Tepecik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karakopru 28 17 9 2 51:24 60
2 Erbaaspor 28 16 9 3 55:21 57
3 Silivrispor 28 14 9 5 38:22 51
4 Bornova 1877 28 15 5 8 47:33 50
5 Kusadasispor 28 12 9 7 36:28 45
6 Kutahyaspor 28 11 11 6 40:25 44
7 Tepecik 28 10 9 9 29:30 39
8 Agri 1970 28 10 9 9 36:35 39
9 Fatsa Bld. 28 9 10 9 24:27 37
10 Osmaniyespor 28 8 5 15 29:34 29
11 1922 Konyaspor 28 7 7 14 25:30 28
12 Bayburt Ozel Idare 28 6 10 12 18:38 28
13 Darica Genclerbirligi 28 6 7 15 18:33 25
14 Akhisarspor 28 5 4 19 25:67 19
15 Sivas Dort 28 5 5 18 22:46 17
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)