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Sivasspor vs Muglaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu, Sivas
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Manaj R.
13' Event
Ethemi V.
Assist: Amilton
33' Event
Engin A.
Assist: Matur O.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Sivasspor and Muglaspor finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sivasspor
35%
Draws
32%
Muglaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Muglaspor come out ahead of Sivasspor on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sivasspor Clean Sheet 20%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sivasspor Muglaspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.29 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 1. Lig
Sivasspor vs Muglaspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ethemi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Muglaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Engin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivasspor 36 / 100
Muglaspor 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sivasspor Muglaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muglaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sivasspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sivasspor scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Muglaspor has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sivasspor VS Muglaspor
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sivasspor

(Home)
09 Oct
Sivasspor
4 : 1
Pendikspor
19 Sept
Keciorengucu
1 : 1
Sivasspor
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Antalyaspor
1 : 2
Sivasspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
Page 1 of 6

Muglaspor

(Away)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)