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Sivasspor vs Sariyer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu, Sivas
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sivasspor host Sariyer in the 1. Lig. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sivasspor have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Sariyer's 1.32 scored and 1.04 conceded. Head-to-head, Sivasspor have won 2 to Sariyer's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.44, favoring Sariyer. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sivasspor
35%
Draws
31%
Sariyer
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Sariyer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Sivasspor taking it.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sivasspor Clean Sheet 16%
Sariyer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sivasspor Sariyer
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Sivasspor
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 1. Lig
Sivasspor vs Sariyer
1:0
May 15, 2005 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Sivasspor
1:1
Dec 11, 2004 1. Lig
Sivasspor vs Sariyer
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivasspor 75 / 100
Sariyer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sivasspor Sariyer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sivasspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sivasspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sivasspor's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sariyer conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sivasspor VS Sariyer
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sivasspor

(Home)
09 Oct
Sivasspor
4 : 1
Pendikspor
19 Sept
Keciorengucu
1 : 1
Sivasspor
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Antalyaspor
1 : 2
Sivasspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
Page 1 of 6

Sariyer

(Away)
09 Oct
Umraniyespor
1 : 1
Sariyer
19 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 1
Boluspor
11 Sept
Sariyer
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
05 Sept
Keciorengucu
3 : 0
Sariyer
01 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 0
Pendikspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)