Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu

Umraniyespor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sivasspor play Umraniyespor in the 1. Lig 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sivasspor averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Umraniyespor averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Sivasspor won 2, Umraniyespor won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sivasspor and 1.38 for Umraniyespor. This points to a Sivasspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Sivasspor

20%

Draws

37%

Umraniyespor

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sivasspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Sivasspor picked up more points recently compared to Umraniyespor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Sivasspor Clean Sheet 17%

Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sivasspor	Umraniyespor
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.27	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 1. Lig

Sivasspor vs Umraniyespor

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Nov 1, 2025 1. Lig

Umraniyespor vs Sivasspor

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly

Sivasspor vs Umraniyespor

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

May 7, 2023 Super Lig

Umraniyespor vs Sivasspor

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Nov 12, 2022 Super Lig

Sivasspor vs Umraniyespor

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivasspor 42 / 100

Umraniyespor 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sivasspor Umraniyespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sivasspor or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sivasspor attacking → ← attacking Umraniyespor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivasspor scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Umraniyespor let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sivasspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Umraniyespor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 38

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54