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SJK-j Apollo vs FC Korsholm Mustasaari

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SJK-j Apollo play FC Korsholm Mustasaari in the Kakkonen Group C 2006. SJK-j Apollo are favorites here. Recently, SJK-j Apollo averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. FC Korsholm Mustasaari averaged 1.07 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. In past meetings, SJK-j Apollo won 2, FC Korsholm Mustasaari won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 13, 2006 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for SJK-j Apollo and 1.00 for FC Korsholm Mustasaari. This points to a SJK-j Apollo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
SJK-j Apollo
25%
Draws
15%
FC Korsholm Mustasaari
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: SJK-j Apollo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • SJK-j Apollo picked up more points recently compared to FC Korsholm Mustasaari.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
SJK-j Apollo Clean Sheet 23%
FC Korsholm Mustasaari Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SJK-j Apollo FC Korsholm Mustasaari
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.8 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2006 Kakkonen Group C
SJK-j Apollo vs FC Korsholm Mustasaari
2:0
May 14, 2006 Kakkonen Group C
FC Korsholm Mustasaari vs SJK-j Apollo
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SJK-j Apollo 59 / 100
FC Korsholm Mustasaari 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SJK-j Apollo FC Korsholm Mustasaari

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SJK-j Apollo Win (1)
Secondary Pick SJK-j Apollo & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SJK-j Apollo attacking → ← attacking FC Korsholm Mustasaari

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SJK-j Apollo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

FC Korsholm Mustasaari let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

SJK-j Apollo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Korsholm Mustasaari lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 9
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1GBK Kokkola26202466:2162
2PS Kemi26158366:2553
3JBK26153853:3548
4OLS Oulu26127746:3143
5SJK-j Apollo261331055:4342
6Narpes Kraft261241040:3740
7YPA26117841:4140
8Sepsi - 78261151035:2938
9FC Kiisto Vaasa261051145:4335
10Lynx Napapiiri26971051:5234
11OPS26851340:4229
12FC Korsholm Mustasaari26661432:5824
13TUS26651534:6423
14Lapuan Virkia Lapua26012515:981