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SK Beveren vs RWDM Brussels

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Freethiel Stadion, Beveren
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Montes J.
Assist: Simbakoli U.
29' Event
Margaritha J.
Assist: Van Hecke J.
34' Event
Bruls C.
Assist: Jans L.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 game between SK Beveren and RWDM Brussels finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SK Beveren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
SK Beveren
15%
Draws
57%
RWDM Brussels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RWDM Brussels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SK Beveren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans RWDM Brussels's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SK Beveren Clean Sheet 13%
RWDM Brussels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SK Beveren RWDM Brussels
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.24 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Challenger Pro League
SK Beveren vs RWDM Brussels
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs SK Beveren
0:2
Mar 14, 2025 Challenger Pro League
SK Beveren vs RWDM Brussels
0:2
Nov 23, 2024 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs SK Beveren
0:2
Apr 16, 2023 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs SK Beveren
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SK Beveren Compare

Top Goalscorer Margaritha J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruls C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

RWDM Brussels Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simbakoli U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SK Beveren 10 / 100
RWDM Brussels 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SK Beveren RWDM Brussels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RWDM Brussels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SK Beveren scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

RWDM Brussels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SK Beveren remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SK Beveren VS RWDM Brussels
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SK Beveren

(Home)
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
16 Aug
SK Beveren
1 : 0
Anderlecht
09 Aug
Antwerp
2 : 1
SK Beveren
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RWDM Brussels

(Away)
06 Sept
Onhaye
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
29 Aug
RWDM Brussels
3 : 0
Flenu
26 Aug
Habay La Neuve
1 : 2
RWDM Brussels
09 Aug
Francs Borains
2 : 1
RWDM Brussels
07 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Beveren 32 28 4 0 74:23 88
2 Kortrijk 32 21 4 7 59:33 67
3 Beerschot VA 32 19 7 6 52:31 64
4 RFC Liege 32 16 5 11 44:39 53
5 Lommel SK 32 15 8 9 59:46 53
6 Patro Eisden 32 14 9 9 44:40 51
7 Eupen 32 12 11 9 44:36 47
8 Sporting Lokeren 32 10 12 10 48:45 42
9 Gent U23 32 12 5 15 42:51 41
10 Lierse SK 32 10 8 14 35:42 38
11 RFC Seraing 32 8 11 13 37:44 35
12 Francs Borains 32 9 8 15 33:47 34
13 RWDM Brussels 32 9 9 14 50:54 33
14 Anderlecht U23 32 7 10 15 46:55 31
15 Genk U23 32 7 10 15 42:59 31
16 Club Brugge U23 32 5 6 21 33:55 21
17 OC Charleroi 32 3 7 22 26:68 16
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