Sport Picks

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SK Cesis vs FK Karosta

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Karosta in this Latvian Cup 2017 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
SK Cesis
33%
Draws
40%
FK Karosta
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FK Karosta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Karosta have won more games recently than SK Cesis.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on FK Karosta taking it.
  • FK Karosta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Karosta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
SK Cesis Clean Sheet 10%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SK Cesis FK Karosta
Matches Played 5 20
Wins 2 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1 3.88
Goals Conceded 4 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2017 Latvian Cup
SK Cesis vs FK Karosta
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SK Cesis 26 / 100
FK Karosta 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SK Cesis FK Karosta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SK Cesis scored in 60% of their last 5 games.

FK Karosta has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

FK Karosta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SK Cesis VS FK Karosta
1 Goals Scored 3.88
4 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

SK Cesis

(Home)
30 May
SK Cesis
1 : 4
Albatroz
28 May
SK Cesis
0 : 3
FK Karosta
09 Jul
Ogre
4 : 0
SK Cesis
26 Jun
SK Cesis
2 : 1
Aliance
15 Jun
SK Cesis
2 : 0
Salaspils FK

FK Karosta

(Away)
27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1
FK Karosta
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2
Dinamo Riga
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1
FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1
FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0
FK Karosta
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plavinas2
FK Sirius0
TBD-
Aliance-
DSVK Traktors2
Salaspils FK1
TBD-
Preilu BJSS-
Jekabpils SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Lielupe-
BFK Salaspils-
TBD-
TBD-
Fk Jurnieks Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caramba-
TBD-
TBD-
Nica FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Valmiera-
TBD-
TBD-
Priekuli-
Ogre-
TBD-
TBD-
RTU-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
JFC Dobele1
Ludzas NSS0
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Balvu SC5
FK Limbazi0
FK Alberts1
Monarhs2
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
Alberts JDFS-
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs10
FK Salacgriva0
TBD-
Rezekne-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Karosta3
SK Cesis0
Bauskas / Memele0
Gulbene3
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
FK Roja / Kolka1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Babite-
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
New Project0
Upesciems2
Super Nova-
TBD-
Super Nova-
Nikers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
1/32-finals
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plavinas2
Aliance1
DSVK Traktors0
Preilu BJSS6
Jekabpils SC8
Lielupe1
BFK Salaspils0
Fk Jurnieks Riga3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caramba1
Nica FC0
TBD-
Grobina-
Valmiera8
Priekuli0
Ogre1
RTU6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
JFC Dobele-
Tukums 2000-
Balvu SC0
Monarhs6
BFC Daugavpils-
Alberts JDFS-
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs0
Rezekne3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Karosta5
Gulbene1
FK Auda Riga-
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Babite-
AFA Olaine-
Upesciems-
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS1
Nikers5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
1/16-finals
Riga FC-
TBD-
Plavinas0
Preilu BJSS6
Jekabpils SC5
Fk Jurnieks Riga2
TBD-
Jelgava-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
Caramba4
Grobina5
Valmiera2
RTU1
TBD-
FK Metta-
Ventspils-
TBD-
JFC Dobele0
Monarhs12
BFC Daugavpils2
Rezekne0
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Karosta5
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze3
TBD-
SK Babite-
AFA Olaine7
Nikers0
TBD-
RFS-
1/8-finals
Riga FC5
Preilu BJSS0
Jekabpils SC0
Jelgava8
Spartaks Jurmala2
Grobina0
Valmiera0
FK Metta3
Ventspils9
Monarhs1
BFC Daugavpils0
FK Liepaja1
FK Karosta-
SK Babite-
AFA Olaine0
RFS4
Quarter-finals
Riga FC3
Jelgava2
Spartaks Jurmala1
FK Metta0
Ventspils1
FK Liepaja2
FK Karosta0
RFS7
Semi-finals
Riga FC2
Spartaks Jurmala1
FK Liepaja4
RFS1
Final
Riga FC0
FK Liepaja2