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SK EPMU Tartu vs Saaremaa

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SK EPMU Tartu play Saaremaa in the Estonian Cup 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, SK EPMU Tartu averaged 1.25 goals scored and 3.38 conceded. Saaremaa averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, SK EPMU Tartu won 1, Saaremaa won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 29, 2009 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for SK EPMU Tartu and 2.02 for Saaremaa. This points to a SK EPMU Tartu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SK EPMU Tartu
33%
Draws
27%
Saaremaa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SK EPMU Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • SK EPMU Tartu has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Saaremaa.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for SK EPMU Tartu.
  • Cup tournament structure in Estonian Cup 2009/2010 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
SK EPMU Tartu Clean Sheet 10%
Saaremaa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SK EPMU Tartu Saaremaa
Matches Played 17 7
Wins 7 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.25 0.67
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2009 Estonian Cup
SK EPMU Tartu vs Saaremaa
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SK EPMU Tartu 38 / 100
Saaremaa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SK EPMU Tartu Saaremaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EPM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SK EPMU Tartu scored in 65% of their last 17 games.

Saaremaa let in goals in 80% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

SK EPMU Tartu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Saaremaa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SK EPMU Tartu VS Saaremaa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 17%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Flora4
Kuressaare0
Tallinna Kalev1
Kalju3
Valga Warrior1
Flora Tallinn U210
Nomme Utd0
Tammeka Tartu4
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus6
FCI Tallinn0
Voru2
Ganvix Turi4
Sillamae Kalev3
Tallinn Piraaja0
Narva0
Levadia3
Quarter-finals
Flora2
Kalju0
Valga Warrior1
Tammeka Tartu4
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus5
Ganvix Turi0
Sillamae Kalev0
Levadia1
Semi-finals
Flora4
Tammeka Tartu1
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus0
Levadia2
Final
Flora0
Levadia3