Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2015/2016

Torva JK

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SK EPMU Tartu play Torva JK in the Estonian Cup 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, SK EPMU Tartu averaged 1.59 goals scored and 3.18 conceded. Torva JK averaged 2.82 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. In past meetings, SK EPMU Tartu won 0, Torva JK won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 8, 2015 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for SK EPMU Tartu and 3.13 for Torva JK. This points to a Torva JK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

SK EPMU Tartu

15%

Draws

52%

Torva JK

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torva JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

SK EPMU Tartu picked up more points recently compared to Torva JK.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 3.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

SK EPMU Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Torva JK Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SK EPMU Tartu	Torva JK
Matches Played	17	11
Wins	7	6
Draws	0	0
Losses	10	5
Goals Scored	1.59	2.82
Goals Conceded	3.18	2.18
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2015 Estonian Cup

SK EPMU Tartu vs Torva JK

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SK EPMU Tartu 32 / 100

Torva JK 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SK EPMU Tartu Torva JK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Torva JK or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SK EPMU Tartu attacking → ← attacking Torva JK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SK EPMU Tartu scored in 65% of their last 17 games.

Torva JK let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SK EPMU Tartu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Torva JK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 18

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 3.13

3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75