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Stadium Background

SKA-1938 Minsk vs FK Lida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga RCOP-BGU Stadium, Minsk
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Match Events

12'
Royko D.
27'
Vashkevich D.
43'
Sub
Zhlobich A. In: Egiptsev F.
Out: Zhlobich A.

AI Match Summary

SKA-1938 Minsk in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SKA-1938 Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SKA-1938 Minsk
15%
Draws
42%
FK Lida
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SKA-1938 Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: SKA-1938 Minsk at 2.31 per game, FK Lida at 1.86.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on SKA-1938 Minsk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
FK Lida Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA-1938 Minsk FK Lida
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.31 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs FK Lida
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs FK Lida
0:0
Jun 15, 2024 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:0
Aug 18, 2018 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs SKA-1938 Minsk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA-1938 Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Prigodich V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korytko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

FK Lida Compare

Top Goalscorer Chergeyko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poluyanov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA-1938 Minsk 85 / 100
FK Lida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA-1938 Minsk FK Lida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA-1938 Minsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA-1938 Minsk found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

FK Lida has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

SKA-1938 Minsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SKA-1938 Minsk VS FK Lida
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA-1938 Minsk

(Home)
10 Oct
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Molodechno
03 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
Page 1 of 6

FK Lida

(Away)
11 Oct
FK Lida
1 : 0
Orsha
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
FK Lida
3 : 2
FC Minsk 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 28 18 6 4 57:28 60
2 Niva Dolbizno 28 18 4 6 72:33 58
3 FK Lida 28 18 3 7 52:43 57
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 28 17 5 6 61:32 56
5 FC Slonim 28 15 5 8 51:33 50
6 Molodechno 27 14 3 10 46:45 45
7 Soligorsk 28 12 7 9 55:45 43
8 BumProm Gomel 28 12 5 11 53:44 41
9 Smorgon 28 10 6 12 35:36 36
10 Ostrovets 28 8 11 9 38:41 35
11 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
12 Volna Pinsk 28 10 5 13 41:51 35
13 FC Minsk 2 28 9 3 16 37:52 30
14 Orsha 28 7 6 15 28:52 27
15 Uni X Labs 27 6 8 13 25:36 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 28 5 6 17 38:60 21
18 Osipovichi 28 5 5 18 30:68 20
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