Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs M. Lipetsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Glukhov E.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Maksimenko A.
30'
Dontsov K.

AI Match Summary

SKA Khabarovsk 2 in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SKA Khabarovsk 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
SKA Khabarovsk 2
28%
Draws
50%
M. Lipetsk
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: M. Lipetsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • SKA Khabarovsk 2 haven't matched M. Lipetsk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives M. Lipetsk a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors M. Lipetsk here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
SKA Khabarovsk 2 Clean Sheet 10%
M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Khabarovsk 2 M. Lipetsk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
4:0
Oct 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs M. Lipetsk
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA Khabarovsk 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimenko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Glotov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

M. Lipetsk Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Khabarovsk 2 22 / 100
M. Lipetsk 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Khabarovsk 2 M. Lipetsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

SKA Khabarovsk 2 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

M. Lipetsk has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: SKA Khabarovsk 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SKA Khabarovsk 2 VS M. Lipetsk
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA Khabarovsk 2

(Home)
04 Jul
Ryazan
3 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk 2
27 Jun
SKA Khabarovsk 2
3 : 2
R. Volgograd 2
20 Jun
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 3
SKA Khabarovsk 2
13 Jun
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
06 Jun
FC Oryol
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
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M. Lipetsk

(Away)
04 Jul
FC Oryol
0 : 2
M. Lipetsk
27 Jun
M. Lipetsk
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 3
20 Jun
Saturn Ramenskoye
1 : 0
M. Lipetsk
13 Jun
Penza
2 : 3
M. Lipetsk
06 Jun
M. Lipetsk
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Bryansk28194549:1861
2Salyut-Belgorod28193653:2460
3Dynamo Petersburg28178357:2059
4Spartak Tambov28165747:2553
5Znamya Truda28164857:2952
6Ryazan28138736:2947
7M. Lipetsk281351036:2544
8FC Oryol281081036:3738
9Arsenal Tula 228961339:3933
10Rodina Moscow 328881239:4632
11Penza28841626:4028
12SKA Khabarovsk 228831739:6427
13R. Volgograd 228581526:4423
14Strogino Moscow28631931:7321
15Kvant Obninsk28172017:7510
16Khimki 200000:00
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Fall Season)