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Stadium Background

SKA Khabarovsk vs Neftekhimik

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SKA Khabarovsk play Neftekhimik in the FNL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, SKA Khabarovsk averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Neftekhimik averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, SKA Khabarovsk won 3, Neftekhimik won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for SKA Khabarovsk and 1.44 for Neftekhimik. This points to a SKA Khabarovsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SKA Khabarovsk
29%
Draws
35%
Neftekhimik
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: SKA Khabarovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • SKA Khabarovsk picked up more points recently compared to Neftekhimik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 16%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Khabarovsk Neftekhimik
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Neftekhimik
2:0
Nov 3, 2025 FNL
Neftekhimik vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 FNL
Neftekhimik vs SKA Khabarovsk
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Neftekhimik
2:0
Apr 7, 2024 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Neftekhimik
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA Khabarovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcalde J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aliev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Neftekhimik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Khabarovsk 36 / 100
Neftekhimik 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Khabarovsk Neftekhimik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SKA Khabarovsk or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SKA Khabarovsk attacking → ← attacking Neftekhimik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Khabarovsk scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Neftekhimik let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

SKA Khabarovsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Neftekhimik lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 41
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
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7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
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