Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SKA Khabarovsk vs Rodina Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Meshchaninov A.
15' Event
Timoshenko I.
20' Event
Reyna Y.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
SKA Khabarovsk
39%
Draws
30%
Rodina Moscow
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rodina Moscow lately — more wins on the board than SKA Khabarovsk.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 16%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Khabarovsk Rodina Moscow
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Rodina Moscow
2:2
Oct 11, 2025 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs SKA Khabarovsk
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Russian Cup
SKA Khabarovsk vs Rodina Moscow
0:3
May 17, 2025 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Rodina Moscow
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA Khabarovsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rodina Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Timoshenko I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meshchaninov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Khabarovsk 31 / 100
Rodina Moscow 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Khabarovsk Rodina Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Khabarovsk scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Rodina Moscow has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SKA Khabarovsk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SKA Khabarovsk VS Rodina Moscow
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622