Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SKA Khabarovsk vs Ufa

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina, Khabarovsk
Sun, May 3, 2026
3 - 0
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SKA Khabarovsk host Ufa in the FNL 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ufa have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while SKA Khabarovsk have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, SKA Khabarovsk have won 2 to Ufa's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.63, favoring Ufa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SKA Khabarovsk
35%
Draws
22%
Ufa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SKA Khabarovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • SKA Khabarovsk haven't matched Ufa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans SKA Khabarovsk's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 68%
Ufa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Khabarovsk Ufa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 FNL
Ufa vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:0
May 3, 2026 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Ufa
3:0
Jul 19, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Ufa
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 FNL
Ufa vs SKA Khabarovsk
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Khabarovsk 50 / 100
Ufa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Khabarovsk Ufa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Khabarovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Khabarovsk scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ufa conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

SKA Khabarovsk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SKA Khabarovsk VS Ufa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA Khabarovsk

(Home)
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4
SKA Khabarovsk
05 Sept
Leningradets
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
Page 1 of 6

Ufa

(Away)
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)