Sport Picks
SKA Khabarovsk vs Ural - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina, Khabarovsk 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sungatulin F.
46'
46'
Sub
Uzhgin M. In: Vshivkov V.
Out: Uzhgin M.
46'
46'
Sub
Alcalde J. In: Shavlokhov D.
Out: Alcalde J.
AI Match Summary
Ural in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ural.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ural
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
24%
/ Low Confidence
- Ural have won more games recently than SKA Khabarovsk.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 68%
Ural Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SKA Khabarovsk | Ural |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Ural
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Ural
0:2
Sep 29, 2025 FNL
Ural vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:2
May 24, 2025 FNL
Ural vs SKA Khabarovsk
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Ural
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SKA Khabarovsk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Ural Compare
Top Goalscorer Sekulic M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bokov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SKA Khabarovsk 41 / 100
Ural 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SKA Khabarovsk Ural
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SKA Khabarovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
SKA Khabarovsk scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
SKA Khabarovsk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ural's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
SKA Khabarovsk VS Ural
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
SKA Khabarovsk
(Home) 27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4 SKA Khabarovsk
05 Sept
Leningradets
3 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
0 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
15 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0 Veles Moscow
09 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
1 : 3 S. Kostroma
02 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
0 : 3 Ural
04 Jul
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 2 Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 3
Ural
(Away) 26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2 Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1 Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0 Kamaz
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2 Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1 Ural
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 Ural
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
