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Stadium Background

SKA Khabarovsk vs Veles Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina, Khabarovsk
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Shkolik I.
43'
Shubin A.
46'
Sub
Nikin I. In: Sadov D.
Out: Nikin I.

AI Match Summary

SKA Khabarovsk in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SKA Khabarovsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
SKA Khabarovsk
35%
Draws
24%
Veles Moscow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SKA Khabarovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • SKA Khabarovsk haven't matched Veles Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans SKA Khabarovsk's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 68%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Khabarovsk Veles Moscow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Veles Moscow
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
SKA Khabarovsk vs Veles Moscow
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
SKA Khabarovsk vs Veles Moscow
3:2
Feb 19, 2025 Club Friendly
SKA Khabarovsk vs Veles Moscow
0:2
May 13, 2023 FNL
Veles Moscow vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA Khabarovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Shkolik I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Noskov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Veles Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Khabarovsk 86 / 100
Veles Moscow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Khabarovsk Veles Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Khabarovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Khabarovsk went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SKA Khabarovsk scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Veles Moscow let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

SKA Khabarovsk VS Veles Moscow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA Khabarovsk

(Home)
10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
3 : 3
Kamaz
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4
SKA Khabarovsk
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Veles Moscow

(Away)
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0
Veles Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
5 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
6 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)