Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skallagrimur vs Ymir

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Sigurdsson V.
54' Event
Morina A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Ymir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Skallagrimur
15%
Draws
57%
Ymir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ymir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ymir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ymir a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Ymir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ymir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 79%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Skallagrimur Clean Sheet 10%
Ymir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skallagrimur Ymir
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 1.77 2.74
Goals Conceded 3.37 3.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.46 2.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Skallagrimur vs Ymir
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skallagrimur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.23

Ymir Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdsson V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skallagrimur 10 / 100
Ymir 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skallagrimur Ymir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ymir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ymir conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Skallagrimur scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ymir registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skallagrimur VS Ymir
1.67 Goals Scored 3
2.83 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
83% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Skallagrimur

(Home)
21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2
Skallagrimur
05 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 2
Ulfarnir
30 Mar
Hamar
1 : 3
Skallagrimur
06 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 3
Aegir
02 Apr
Skallagrimur
2 : 3
KFR
Page 1 of 6

Ymir

(Away)
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
03 Apr
Afturelding
6 : 1
Ymir
28 Mar
Ymir
10 : 0
KFS
20 Mar
Ymir
7 : 0
Falkar
05 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
3 : 1
Ymir
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas 4
KM Reykjavik 1
SR Reykjavik 2
IBU 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir -
Skandinavia -
Kria 2
Hamar 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fjallabyggd 2
TBD -
Magni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 7
KB Breidholt 1
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 12
Smari 0
Njardvik 4
Arborg 1
Augnablik 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 4
Bjorninn 5
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Sindri 1
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
Vaengirs 3
KH Hlidarendi 1
KFB 1
Vidir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hviti 2
KFS 1
Selfoss 5
Snaefell 0
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 0
Kari 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Tindastoll 2
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Samherjar 3
Nokkvi 0
Haukar 3
Ellidi 1
Alftanes 0
Fram 4
Skallagrimur 0
Ymir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Asvellir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Berserkir 1
KFR 0
GG Grindavik 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 1
Alafoss 0
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Vestri 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Stokkseyri 3
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Lettir 1
Reynir 9
Throttur Vogar 2
Aegir 1
TBD -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji -
1/32-finals
Midas 0
SR Reykjavik 4
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir 6
Hamar 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Fjallabyggd 2
Magni 3
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 0
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 1
Arborg 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
Keflavik 5
Bjorninn 0
Grotta -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Fjardabyggd 1
Vaengirs 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Hviti 0
Selfoss 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Tindastoll 2
Samherjar 1
Haukar 1
Fram 2
Ymir 1
IR Reykjavik 4
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
GG Grindavik 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 3
Vestri 1
TBD -
Samherjar -
Volsungur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Stokkseyri 2
Reynir 8
Throttur Vogar 1
Olafsvik 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Einherji 1
1/16-finals
SR Reykjavik 0
Valur 3
Kordrengir 2
Akranes 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Afturelding 3
Arborg 0
Breidablik 3
Keflavik 2
Grotta 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Vaengirs 1
KR Reykjavik 8
Fjolnir 3
Selfoss 2
KA Akureyri 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 7
Tindastoll 0
Fram 3
IR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Fylkir 8
Throttur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Reynir 1
Olafsvik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 3
Leiknir Faskruds 0
1/8-finals
Valur 3
Akranes 1
Kopavogur 6
Afturelding 2
Breidablik 3
Grotta 0
KR Reykjavik 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Fram 2
Fylkir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Quarter-finals
Valur 2
Kopavogur 1
Breidablik 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Stjarnan 0
Semi-finals
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
Final
TBD -
TBD -