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Skanste vs Valmiera

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skanste host Valmiera in the Nakotnes liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Skanste have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Valmiera's 2.13 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Skanste have won 0 to Valmiera's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 2.00) back Valmiera to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Skanste
6%
Draws
90%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valmiera lately — more wins on the board than Skanste.
  • Model gives Valmiera a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste Valmiera
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
Valmiera vs Skanste
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 10 / 100
Valmiera 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste Valmiera

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Skanste scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Valmiera conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Skanste went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skanste VS Valmiera
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334