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Skanste vs Valmiera

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Lopes G.
50' Event
Lopes G.
75' Event
Lopes G.

AI Match Summary

Valmiera in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Skanste
20%
Draws
45%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valmiera lately — more wins on the board than Skanste.
  • Model gives Valmiera a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste Valmiera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.83 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 1. Liga
Skanste vs Valmiera
0:3
May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
Valmiera vs Skanste
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skanste Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes G.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 26 / 100
Valmiera 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Skanste scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Valmiera conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Skanste went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skanste VS Valmiera
2.38 Goals Scored 3.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Skanste

(Home)
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera

(Away)
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 19 14 3 2 36:21 45
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
8 Riga FC 2 19 7 3 9 28:36 24
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 39:38 23
10 RFS 2 19 4 3 12 28:52 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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