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Skara vs Grebbestad

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skara play Grebbestad in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Skara averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Grebbestad averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Skara won 1, Grebbestad won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Skara and 1.44 for Grebbestad. This points to a Skara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Skara
15%
Draws
37%
Grebbestad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Skara picked up more points recently compared to Grebbestad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Skara Clean Sheet 16%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skara Grebbestad
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.87 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Grebbestad
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Grebbestad
0:3
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Skara
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Grebbestad Compare

Top Goalscorer Furublad H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hjellegjerde H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skara 46 / 100
Grebbestad 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skara Grebbestad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Skara or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Skara attacking → ← attacking Grebbestad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skara scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Grebbestad let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Skara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Grebbestad lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 46
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FBK Karlstad26164662:2952
2Motala26156558:3551
3Herrestads AIF26128651:2744
4Lidkoping26128638:2544
5Ahlafors261010641:3740
6Kongahalla26107957:4237
7Skara261041240:4834
8Grebbestad26951240:4732
9Vanersborgs IF26710944:5031
10Vanersborgs FK26871126:3731
11Tord26791032:3930
12Kumla26861234:5230
13IF Haga26651526:5423
14Tidaholms26471527:5419