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Stadium Background

Skara vs Kumla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Fellrath Y.
19' Event
Fellrath Y.
39' Event
Gorgol A.

AI Match Summary

Skara in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Skara
20%
Draws
24%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Kumla haven't matched Skara's recent run of results.
  • Skara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Skara have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Skara Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skara Kumla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.14 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Kumla
3:1
May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Skara
0:2
Jun 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Kumla
1:2
Jun 19, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Skara
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skara Compare

Top Goalscorer Fellrath Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nikolla K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorgol A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skara 85 / 100
Kumla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skara Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skara found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Kumla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Skara has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Skara VS Kumla
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Skara

(Home)
09 Oct
IFK Skovde
0 : 1
Skara
03 Oct
Skara
3 : 1
Kumla
26 Sept
Grebbestad
3 : 1
Skara
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4
Skara
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Kumla

(Away)
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Skara
3 : 1
Kumla
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0
Lidkoping
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 25 17 5 3 52:26 56
3 IFK Skovde 25 14 5 6 42:26 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)