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Skeid 2 vs Baerum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hanke B.
29' Event
Orbeck L. F.
32' Event
Bransdal L.

AI Match Summary

Baerum in this Division 3 - Group 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Skeid 2
20%
Draws
51%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baerum lately — more wins on the board than Skeid 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Skeid 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skeid 2 Baerum
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.83 3
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Baerum vs Skeid 2
1:3
Jun 29, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Skeid 2 vs Baerum
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skeid 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanke B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Bransdal L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Orbeck L. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skeid 2 30 / 100
Baerum 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skeid 2 Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skeid 2 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Baerum let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Skeid 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Baerum
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Skeid 2

(Home)
27 Oct
Mjondalen 2
3 : 2
Skeid 2
20 Oct
Skeid 2
2 : 4
KFUM Oslo 2
06 Oct
Flint
4 : 3
Skeid 2
29 Sept
Baerum
1 : 3
Skeid 2
23 Sept
Skeid 2
0 : 0
Assiden
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Baerum

(Away)
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
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