Sport Picks
Match Events
48'
48'
Jamehdar S.
51'
51'
Backstrom H.
80'
80'
Johansson I.
AI Match Summary
Skelleftea in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skelleftea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bergnasets AIK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Bergnasets AIK haven't matched Skelleftea's recent run of results.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Skelleftea have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 20%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Skelleftea | Bergnasets AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.09 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Skelleftea
1:4
May 17, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Bergnasets AIK
4:1
Aug 9, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Bergnasets AIK
3:2
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Skelleftea
3:2
Sep 23, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Bergnasets AIK
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Skelleftea Compare
Top Goalscorer Backstrom H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jamehdar S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Bergnasets AIK Compare
Top Goalscorer Abayomi T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Skelleftea 36 / 100
Bergnasets AIK 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Skelleftea Bergnasets AIK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bergnasets AIK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Skelleftea scored in 91% of their last 32 games.
Bergnasets AIK has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Skelleftea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Skelleftea VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Skelleftea
(Home) 16 Sept
Skelleftea
1 : 2 Taftea IK
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0 Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2 IFK Ostersund
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2 Boden
22 Aug
Gottne IF
2 : 2 Skelleftea
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Skelleftea
1 : 2 Taftea IK
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2 IFK Ostersund
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2 Boden
15 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 1 IFK Lulea
08 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 0 Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 4
Bergnasets AIK
(Away) 15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0 Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0 Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4 Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4 Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2 Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0 Bergnasets AIK
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4 Bergnasets AIK
15 Sept
Boden City
3 : 2 Bergnasets AIK
03 Sept
Boden
2 : 2 Bergnasets AIK
17 Aug
Friska Viljor
5 : 2 Bergnasets AIK
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pitea | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Skelleftea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 3 | IFK Lulea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Bergnasets AIK | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | 13 |
| 5 | Boden | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 6 | Kiruna | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13:23 | 8 |
| 7 | Boden City | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Ostersund | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 39:18 | 28 |
| 2 | Umea FC Akademi | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32:19 | 24 |
| 3 | Kubikenborgs | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Gottne IF | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 24:25 | 15 |
| 6 | Lucksta IF | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 7 | Taftea IK | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:28 | 9 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
