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Skelleftea vs Boden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Appoh S.
69' Event
Appoh S.
89' Event
Bello M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Skelleftea and Boden finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Skelleftea
15%
Draws
42%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skelleftea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Skelleftea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 13%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skelleftea Boden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Skelleftea
0:2
Aug 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Skelleftea
1:1
May 6, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden
2:0
May 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Appoh S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Bello M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skelleftea 35 / 100
Boden 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skelleftea Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skelleftea scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Boden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Boden registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skelleftea VS Boden
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Skelleftea

(Home)
17 Oct
Skelleftea
0 : 5
Kubikenborgs
11 Oct
Lucksta IF
2 : 1
Skelleftea
03 Oct
IFK Lulea
4 : 2
Skelleftea
26 Sept
Skelleftea
0 : 3
Gottne IF
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

Boden

(Away)
17 Oct
Boden
2 : 5
Lucksta IF
10 Oct
Taftea IK
1 : 2
Boden
03 Oct
Gottne IF
4 : 2
Boden
26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0
Boden
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 14 11 0 3 38:13 56
2 IFK Lulea 14 9 1 4 25:19 53
3 Skelleftea 14 5 3 6 22:29 45
4 IFK Ostersund 14 7 3 4 35:22 41
5 Taftea IK 14 5 0 9 20:33 40
6 Gottne IF 14 4 2 8 26:28 37
7 Boden 14 5 2 7 19:32 34
8 Lucksta IF 14 4 1 9 23:32 31
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)