Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skelleftea vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Esmaili A.
12' Event
Mattsson V.
68'
Bello M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Skelleftea and Boden finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skelleftea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Skelleftea
6%
Draws
4%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skelleftea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Skelleftea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Skelleftea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 20%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skelleftea Boden
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Skelleftea
1:1
May 6, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden
2:0
May 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Skelleftea
0:1
Sep 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Skelleftea
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Esmaili A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattsson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Boden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skelleftea 85 / 100
Boden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skelleftea Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skelleftea scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Boden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Skelleftea went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Skelleftea VS Boden
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Skelleftea

(Home)
27 Jun
IFK Lulea
0 : 1
Skelleftea
21 Jun
Skelleftea
4 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
13 Jun
Boden
1 : 1
Skelleftea
06 Jun
Skelleftea
3 : 0
IFK Umea
03 Jun
Storfors AIK
1 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 7

Boden

(Away)
27 Jun
Taftea IK
1 : 1
Boden
22 Jun
Boden
1 : 4
IFK Lulea
13 Jun
Boden
1 : 1
Skelleftea
07 Jun
Storfors AIK
0 : 2
Boden
30 May
Umea FC Akademi
1 : 1
Boden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)