Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skelleftea vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Esmaili A.
12' Event
Mattsson V.
68'
Bello M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Skelleftea and Boden finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skelleftea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Skelleftea
35%
Draws
30%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Skelleftea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 19%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skelleftea Boden
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Skelleftea
1:1
May 6, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden
2:0
May 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Skelleftea
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Esmaili A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattsson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Boden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skelleftea 31 / 100
Boden 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skelleftea Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skelleftea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skelleftea scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Boden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Skelleftea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skelleftea VS Boden
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Skelleftea

(Home)
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
22 Aug
Gottne IF
2 : 2
Skelleftea
15 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 1
IFK Lulea
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Boden

(Away)
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
22 Aug
Boden
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
15 Aug
Boden
3 : 2
Gottne IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)