Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skenderbeu Korca vs Kukesi

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë Skënderbeu Stadium, Korçë
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Nasr S.
82' Event
Bircaj L.
90' Event
Shaqe K.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë game between Skenderbeu Korca and Kukesi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skenderbeu Korca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Skenderbeu Korca
15%
Draws
51%
Kukesi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kukesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / High Confidence
  • Skenderbeu Korca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Skenderbeu Korca's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Skenderbeu Korca here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 68%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skenderbeu Korca Kukesi
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Skenderbeu Korca vs Kukesi
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Kukesi
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Kukesi
3:0
Apr 19, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Kukesi vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasr S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shaqe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kukesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bircaj L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skenderbeu Korca 59 / 100
Kukesi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skenderbeu Korca Kukesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skenderbeu Korca found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Kukesi has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Kukesi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skenderbeu Korca VS Kukesi
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Skenderbeu Korca

(Home)
05 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 1
Kukesi
26 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 2
Partizani
17 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Struga
04 May
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Laci
25 Apr
Pogradeci
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
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Kukesi

(Away)
05 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 1
Kukesi
25 Jul
Laci
3 : 1
Kukesi
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
09 May
Kukesi
1 : 2
Bylis B
03 May
Kukesi
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)